Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Firgas: COMFIR-NC would win a majority

Firgas (Las Palmas, 7,581 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

COMFIR-NC+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.7% of the vote (2023: 40.4%) Majority 45%
UXGC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
CCA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 3.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 55% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. COMFIR-NCLocal lists 40.4% → 41.7% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. UXGCLocal lists 15.0% → 15.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 12.2% → 9.9% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 12.3% → 9.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 10.3% → 9.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. VOXVox 3.1% → 7.5% 0 → 1 councillors
  7. HABLEMOS AHORALocal lists 5.2% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,428 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Firgas in size, in Las Palmas

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