España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Firgas: COMFIR-NC would win a majority

Firgas (Las Palmas, 7,581 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

COMFIR-NC+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.7% of the vote (2023: 40.4%) Majority 45%
UXGC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
CCA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 3.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 55% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Firgas

Firgas is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 7,581 inhabitants, the 26th largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 COMFIR-NC came first with 40.4% of the vote and 6 seats; UXGC was second with 2. 67.5% of the 6,560 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps COMFIR-NC on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 45% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. COMFIR-NCLocal lists 40.4% → 41.7% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. UXGCLocal lists 15.0% → 15.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 12.2% → 9.9% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 12.3% → 9.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 10.3% → 9.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. VOXVox 3.1% → 7.5% 0 → 1 councillors
  7. HABLEMOS AHORALocal lists 5.2% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,428 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Firgas in size, in Las Palmas

Every municipality in Las Palmas → · All of Spain →