Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santiago-Pontones: no list would have a majority, JM+ largest

Santiago-Pontones (Jaén, 2,777 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

JM+±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority 2%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.4% of the vote (2023: 31.7%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Santiago-Pontones

Santiago-Pontones is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 2,777 inhabitants, the 47th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 JM+ came first with 35.2% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 77.2% of the 2,374 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: JM+ would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. JM+Local lists 35.2% → 35.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.7% → 27.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 25.3% → 23.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.2% → 12.5% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,832 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santiago-Pontones in size, in Jaén

Every municipality in Jaén → · All of Spain →