Ibros: PSOE would keep its majority
Ibros (Jaén, 2,787 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 82%PSOE majority
- 1,844valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 51.3% of the vote (2023: 56.2%)
Majority 82%
IUF±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 20.7%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 16.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 6.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 56.2% → 51.3% 7 → 6 councillors
- IUFLocal lists 20.7% → 21.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 16.6% → 15.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 6.2% → 11.4% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,844 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.