Cambil: AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIAR would keep its majority
Cambil (Jaén, 2,642 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 95%AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIAR majority
- 1,686valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIAR+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 55.4% of the vote (2023: 49.9%)
Majority 95%
PARA LA GENTE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 23.3%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.3% of the vote (2023: 18.3%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 7.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIARLocal lists 49.9% → 55.4% 6 → 7 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 23.3% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 18.3% → 16.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 7.8% → 7.3% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,686 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.