Cambil: AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIAR would keep its majority
Cambil (Jaén, 2,642 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 95%AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIAR majority
- 1,686valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cambil
Cambil is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 2,642 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIAR came first with 49.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PARA LA GENTE was second with 2. 77.1% of the 2,187 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIAR on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AGRUPACION ELECTORAL INDEPENDIENTE-CAMBIARLocal lists 49.9% → 55.4% 6 → 7 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 23.3% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 18.3% → 16.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 7.8% → 7.3% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,686 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.