Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Pozo Alcón: PSOE would keep its majority

Pozo Alcón (Jaén, 4,633 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 50.0% of the vote (2023: 53.7%) Majority 59%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.8% of the vote (2023: 37.2%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 38% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Pozo Alcón

Pozo Alcón is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 4,633 inhabitants, the 29th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 53.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 69.1% of the 3,728 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 59% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.7% → 50.0% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 37.2% → 36.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.9% → 12.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,577 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pozo Alcón in size, in Jaén

Every municipality in Jaén → · All of Spain →