Lopera: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Lopera (Jaén, 3,616 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 2,302valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Lopera
Lopera is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 3,616 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 31.3% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 3. 76.9% of the 2,994 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 28.7% → 28.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.3% → 27.9% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 15.2% → 23.5% 1 → 3 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 24.1% → 19.9% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,302 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.