Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Jamilena: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Jamilena (Jaén, 3,314 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.5% of the vote (2023: 42.0%) Majority 31%
A.U.P.A.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 24.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 25.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 69% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.0% → 42.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. A.U.P.A.Local lists 24.3% → 26.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 25.9% → 23.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 6.8% → 7.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,272 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Jamilena in size, in Jaén

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