Beas de Segura: PSOE would keep its majority
Beas de Segura (Jaén, 5,112 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 2,864valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Beas de Segura
Beas de Segura is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 5,112 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 75.1% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 72.6% of the 3,944 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 75.1% → 70.5% 11 → 10 councillors
- PPPP 18.0% → 17.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 6.1% → 11.5% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,864 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.