Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Andújar: PP would keep its majority

Andújar (Jaén, 36,030 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
12 councillors (2023: 12) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 50.9%) Majority 89%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 25.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%
(UA)±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.6% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Andújar

Andújar is a municipality in the province of Jaén with 36,030 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 97 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 50.9% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 6. 59.5% of the 29,476 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.9% → 50.4% 12 → 12 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 25.7% → 22.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.4% → 13.2% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. (UA)Local lists 6.4% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. P.I.I.Local lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,542 valid votes including 211 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Andújar in size, in Jaén

Every municipality in Jaén → · All of Spain →