España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Andújar: PP would keep its majority

Andújar (Jaén, 36,030 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
12 councillors (2023: 12) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 50.9%) Majority 89%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 25.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%
(UA)±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.6% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.9% → 50.4% 12 → 12 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 25.7% → 22.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.4% → 13.2% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. (UA)Local lists 6.4% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. P.I.I.Local lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,542 valid votes including 211 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Andújar in size, in Jaén

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