Sencelles: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Sencelles (Illes Balears, 3,659 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 1,853valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sencelles
Sencelles is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 3,659 inhabitants, the 46th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 34.1% of the vote and 4 seats; EL PI was second with 4. 67.1% of the 2,762 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 34.1% → 32.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- EL PILocal lists 31.2% → 31.4% 4 → 4 councillors
- MÉS-EULocal lists 12.0% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOLEM SENCELLESLocal lists 9.2% → 9.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 4.7% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 7.7% → 4.8% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,853 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.