Consell: no list would have a majority, PSIB-PSOE largest
Consell (Illes Balears, 4,230 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 90%no list with a majority
- 2,103valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSIB-PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 36.4% of the vote (2023: 37.9%)
Majority 6%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 34.2%)
Majority 4%
SC+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 20.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 90% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 37.9% → 36.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 34.2% → 35.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- SCLocal lists 20.5% → 22.7% 2 → 3 councillors
- EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,103 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.