Sencelles: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Sencelles (Illes Balears, 3,659 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 1,853valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 32.1% of the vote (2023: 34.1%)
Majority 2%
EL PI±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 31.4% of the vote (2023: 31.2%)
Majority under 1%
MÉS-EU±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 12.0%)
Majority 0%
VOLEM SENCELLES±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 9.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 4.7%)
Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.8% of the vote (2023: 7.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 34.1% → 32.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- EL PILocal lists 31.2% → 31.4% 4 → 4 councillors
- MÉS-EULocal lists 12.0% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOLEM SENCELLESLocal lists 9.2% → 9.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 4.7% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 7.7% → 4.8% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,853 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.