Selva: PP would keep its majority
Selva (Illes Balears, 4,243 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 70%PP majority
- 2,302valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 49.2% of the vote (2023: 50.5%)
Majority 70%
ARRELAM-MÉS-PSIB±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 25.6%)
Majority 0%
F.C.±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 14.8%)
Majority 0%
EL PI±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 7.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 50.5% → 49.2% 6 → 6 councillors
- ARRELAM-MÉS-PSIBLocal lists 25.6% → 26.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- F.C.Local lists 14.8% → 15.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- EL PILocal lists 7.6% → 7.8% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,302 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.