Selva: PP would keep its majority
Selva (Illes Balears, 4,243 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 70%PP majority
- 2,302valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Selva
Selva is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 4,243 inhabitants, the 43rd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 50.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; ARRELAM-MÉS-PSIB was second with 3. 75.1% of the 3,064 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 70% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 50.5% → 49.2% 6 → 6 councillors
- ARRELAM-MÉS-PSIBLocal lists 25.6% → 26.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- F.C.Local lists 14.8% → 15.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- EL PILocal lists 7.6% → 7.8% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,302 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.