España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Petra: EL PI would keep its majority

Petra (Illes Balears, 3,067 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EL PI−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 68.1% of the vote (2023: 71.3%) Majority over 99%
MÉS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.2% of the vote (2023: 22.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Petra

Petra is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 3,067 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EL PI came first with 71.3% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; MÉS was second with 2. 78.9% of the 2,227 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EL PI on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EL PILocal lists 71.3% → 68.1% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. MÉSLocal lists 22.1% → 21.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.9% → 9.1% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,757 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Petra in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →