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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Illes Balears

Palma: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Palma (Illes Balears, 415,940 inhabitants) elects 29 councillors on 23 May 2027; 15 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 30.1% of the vote (2023: 32.2%) Majority 1%
VOX+3
9 councillors (2023: 6) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 20.5%) Majority 0%
PSIB-PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 24.9%) Majority 0%
MÉS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 9.3%) Majority 0%
EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.7% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (15 of 29). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Palma

Palma is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 415,940 inhabitants, the largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 29 seats, and 15 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 32.2% of the vote and 11 seats; PSIB-PSOE was second with 8. 53.9% of the 295,395 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 10 of 29.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 32.2% → 30.1% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. VOXVox 20.5% → 29.1% 6 → 9 councillors
  3. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 24.9% → 20.7% 8 → 7 councillors
  4. MÉSLocal lists 9.3% → 9.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.1% → 2.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. EL PILocal lists 2.3% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.9% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PROGRESO EN VERDE PACMALocal lists 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CUP - CXP - AMUNTCUP 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. CPERBLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. PLIELocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. RESETLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 159,165 valid votes including 2,292 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Palma in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →