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Ciutadella de Menorca: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Ciutadella de Menorca (Illes Balears, 30,811 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority 3%
PSM MXM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 21.9% of the vote (2023: 21.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 23.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
CIUTADELLA ENDAVANT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ciutadella de Menorca

Ciutadella de Menorca is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 30,811 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 36% of the vote and 9 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 48.7% of the 23,639 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.0% → 34.3% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PSM MXMLocal lists 21.6% → 21.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 23.0% → 19.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.4% → 11.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. CIUTADELLA ENDAVANTLocal lists 7.3% → 7.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 3.0% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. P.LI.E.Local lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,501 valid votes including 216 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ciutadella de Menorca in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →