Ariany: EL PI would keep its majority
Ariany (Illes Balears, 912 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%EL PI majority
- 480valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ariany
Ariany is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 912 inhabitants, the 62nd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EL PI came first with 82.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 1. 74.2% of the 647 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EL PI on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EL PILocal lists 82.5% → 85.5% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 15.0% → 12.0% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 480 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.