Fornalutx: IF would keep its majority
Fornalutx (Illes Balears, 710 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%IF majority
- 447valid votes in 2023 (89% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IF±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 64.9% of the vote (2023: 61.7%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 30.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IFLocal lists 61.7% → 64.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 30.4% → 29.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSIB-PSOEPSOE 7.2% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 447 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.