Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ariany: EL PI would keep its majority

Ariany (Illes Balears, 912 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EL PI+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 85.5% of the vote (2023: 82.5%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EL PILocal lists 82.5% → 85.5% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 15.0% → 12.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 480 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ariany in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →