Es Migjorn Gran: PP would keep its majority
Es Migjorn Gran (Illes Balears, 1,507 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 909valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 66.6% of the vote (2023: 64.4%)
Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 30.6% of the vote (2023: 32.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 64.4% → 66.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.9% → 30.6% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 909 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.