España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación
PollingForecast.com España
EN ES
Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Illes Balears

Andratx: PP would keep its majority

Andratx (Illes Balears, 11,735 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 45.9%) Majority 63%
PSIB-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 5.9%) Majority 0%
EL PI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 10.7%) Majority 0%
MÉS−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 9.3%) Majority 0%
CS+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.0% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Andratx

Andratx is a municipality in the province of Illes Balears with 11,735 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 45.9% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSIB-PSOE was second with 3. 54.1% of the 8,280 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 63% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.9% → 45.0% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSIB-PSOEPSOE 17.6% → 14.6% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.9% → 11.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. EL PILocal lists 10.7% → 11.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. MÉSLocal lists 9.3% → 9.7% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 4.9% → 5.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  7. EUIB - UNIDAS PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,480 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Andratx in size, in Illes Balears

Every municipality in Illes Balears → · All of Spain →