Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Trigueros: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Trigueros (Huelva, 7,926 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 34.2%) Majority 1%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.0% of the vote (2023: 30.8%) Majority 0%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 12.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Trigueros

Trigueros is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 7,926 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 34.2% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE-A was second with 4. 65.3% of the 6,368 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 34.2% → 34.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 30.8% → 28.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 19.4% → 20.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 12.6% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 1.9% → 6.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,161 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Trigueros in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →