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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Huelva

Nerva: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Nerva (Huelva, 5,100 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 31.2%) Majority under 1%
X NERVA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 21.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 14.5%) Majority 0%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.0% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 31.2% → 29.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. X NERVALocal lists 21.4% → 23.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 22.3% → 22.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 14.5% → 12.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 5.4% → 6.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. XHLocal lists 4.5% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,882 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Nerva in size, in Huelva

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