Hinojos: PP would keep its majority
Hinojos (Huelva, 3,951 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 83%PP majority
- 2,300valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 54.2% of the vote (2023: 52.6%)
Majority 83%
PSOE-A−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 39.4%)
Majority 6%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 52.6% → 54.2% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 39.4% → 37.2% 5 → 4 councillors
- UALocal lists 7.0% → 7.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,300 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.