Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Paterna del Campo: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Paterna del Campo (Huelva, 3,478 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.1% of the vote (2023: 42.9%) Majority 28%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 0%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA - IZQUIERDA UNIDA CON PATERNA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 13.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 42.9% → 42.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.7% → 32.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 11.1% → 12.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍA - IZQUIERDA UNIDA CON PATERNASumar, Podemos and allies 13.9% → 11.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,049 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Paterna del Campo in size, in Huelva

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