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Paterna del Campo: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Paterna del Campo (Huelva, 3,478 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.1% of the vote (2023: 42.9%) Majority 28%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 30.7%) Majority 0%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA - IZQUIERDA UNIDA CON PATERNA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 13.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Paterna del Campo

Paterna del Campo is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 3,478 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 42.9% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 4. 70.8% of the 2,896 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 42.9% → 42.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.7% → 32.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 11.1% → 12.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍA - IZQUIERDA UNIDA CON PATERNASumar, Podemos and allies 13.9% → 11.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,049 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Paterna del Campo in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →