Nerva: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
Nerva (Huelva, 5,100 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 2,882valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 31.2%)
Majority under 1%
X NERVA±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 21.4%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 22.3%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 14.5%)
Majority 0%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.0% of the vote (2023: 5.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 31.2% → 29.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- X NERVALocal lists 21.4% → 23.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 22.3% → 22.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 14.5% → 12.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 5.4% → 6.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- XHLocal lists 4.5% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,882 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.