Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Aracena: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Aracena (Huelva, 8,240 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 52.3%) Majority 78%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 33.2%) Majority 1%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 52.3% → 50.4% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.2% → 34.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 10.1% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,972 valid votes including 104 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aracena in size, in Huelva

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