Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Juan del Puerto: PSOE-A would keep its majority

San Juan del Puerto (Huelva, 9,532 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 53.5% of the vote (2023: 56.5%) Majority 89%
PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 32.2%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 4.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About San Juan del Puerto

San Juan del Puerto is a municipality in the province of Huelva with 9,532 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 80 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 56.5% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 64.9% of the 6,933 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 56.5% → 53.5% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.2% → 32.3% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.6% → 9.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,502 valid votes including 67 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Juan del Puerto in size, in Huelva

Every municipality in Huelva → · All of Spain →