Marchamalo: PSOE would keep its majority
Marchamalo (Guadalajara, 8,030 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 79%PSOE majority
- 3,859valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 21% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Marchamalo
Marchamalo is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 8,030 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 53.4% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 65.6% of the 5,883 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 79% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 53.4% → 49.6% 8 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 26.2% → 25.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 9.7% → 16.3% 1 → 2 councillors
- FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 3.3% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- UNIDAS - PODEMOS - IUSumar, Podemos and allies 5.4% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,859 valid votes including 73 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.