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Pioz: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Pioz (Guadalajara, 5,013 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 20.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 29.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 21.0%) Majority 0%
UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IU−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%
XPIOZ+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Pioz

Pioz is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 5,013 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 29.2% of the vote and 4 seats; UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IU was second with 3. 54.5% of the 3,281 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VOX would be largest on 4 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 20.5% → 29.9% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 29.2% → 25.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 21.0% → 19.7% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. UNIDAS-PODEMOS-IUSumar, Podemos and allies 22.2% → 17.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. XPIOZLocal lists 6.3% → 6.4% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,789 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Pioz in size, in Guadalajara

Every municipality in Guadalajara → · All of Spain →