El Casar: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
El Casar (Guadalajara, 12,919 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 5,829valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 32.1% of the vote (2023: 36.6%)
Majority 1%
VOX+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 16.1%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 24.9%)
Majority 0%
CONTIGO+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 14.2%)
Majority 0%
UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOS−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 2.8% of the vote (2023: 5.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 36.6% → 32.1% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 16.1% → 24.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 24.9% → 23.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 14.2% → 14.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 2.8% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,829 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.