Alovera: ALTERNATIVA ALOVERA would win a majority
Alovera (Guadalajara, 13,142 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 60%no list with a majority
- 5,942valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Alovera
Alovera is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 13,142 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ALTERNATIVA ALOVERA came first with 42.8% of the vote and 8 seats; PP was second with 3. 63% of the 9,429 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ALTERNATIVA ALOVERA on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 40% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ALTERNATIVA ALOVERALocal lists 42.8% → 43.4% 8 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 20.1% → 18.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 10.9% → 17.4% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 17.6% → 14.3% 3 → 2 councillors
- UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.4% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,942 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.