El Casar: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
El Casar (Guadalajara, 12,919 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 5,829valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Casar
El Casar is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 12,919 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 36.6% of the vote and 7 seats; PP was second with 4. 62.6% of the 9,317 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 6 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 36.6% → 32.1% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 16.1% → 24.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 24.9% → 23.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 14.2% → 14.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 2.8% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,829 valid votes including 43 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.