Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Humanes: PSOE would keep its majority

Humanes (Guadalajara, 1,644 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 64.0% of the vote (2023: 63.3%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority under 1%
UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Humanes

Humanes is a municipality in the province of Guadalajara with 1,644 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 288 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 63.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 64.1% of the 1,241 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 63.3% → 64.0% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.1% → 26.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. UNIDAS-IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 9.2% → 7.1% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 796 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Humanes in size, in Guadalajara

Every municipality in Guadalajara → · All of Spain →