Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Nevada: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Nevada (Granada, 1,086 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 52.8% of the vote (2023: 56.9%) Majority 83%
PP+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 37.8%) Majority 8%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Nevada

Nevada is a municipality in the province of Granada with 1,086 inhabitants, the 96th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 56.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 73.2% of the 887 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 83% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 56.9% → 52.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 37.8% → 37.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.4% → 7.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 649 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Nevada in size, in Granada

Every municipality in Granada → · All of Spain →