Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montillana: PP would keep its majority

Montillana (Granada, 1,083 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 48.3% of the vote (2023: 50.1%) Majority 52%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 33.8% of the vote (2023: 38.4%) Majority 1%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.1% → 48.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 38.4% → 33.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.1% → 17.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 748 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montillana in size, in Granada

Every municipality in Granada → · All of Spain →