Nívar: no list would have a majority, GIN largest
Nívar (Granada, 1,099 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 55%no list with a majority
- 598valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 55% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Nívar
Nívar is a municipality in the province of Granada with 1,099 inhabitants, the 95th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 GIN came first with 43.5% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE-A was second with 2. 68.7% of the 870 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: GIN would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- GINLocal lists 43.5% → 44.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 12.0% → 18.7% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 21.6% → 17.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 17.6% → 16.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 598 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.