Atarfe: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Atarfe (Granada, 19,452 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 95%no list with a majority
- 7,694valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Atarfe
Atarfe is a municipality in the province of Granada with 19,452 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 174 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 36.5% of the vote and 7 seats; PP was second with 6. 52.3% of the 14,716 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 36.4% → 36.6% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 36.5% → 33.8% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 10.5% → 17.7% 2 → 3 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 12.2% → 9.5% 2 → 1 councillors
- ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,694 valid votes including 93 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.