Tolosa: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Tolosa (Gipuzkoa, 19,886 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 97%EH BILDU majority
- 9,469valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
10
councillors (2023: 9) · 57.9% of the vote (2023: 49.2%)
Majority 97%
EAJ-PNV−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 36.6%)
Majority under 1%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.4% of the vote (2023: 7.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 49.2% → 57.9% 9 → 10 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 36.6% → 32.9% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 7.5% → 5.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 3.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,469 valid votes including 170 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.