Arrasate/Mondragón: EH BILDU would win a majority
Arrasate/Mondragón (Gipuzkoa, 21,760 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 73%EH BILDU majority
- 10,060valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
11
councillors (2023: 10) · 50.7% of the vote (2023: 42.8%)
Majority 73%
EAJ-PNV−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 31.3% of the vote (2023: 34.5%)
Majority 1%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 11.7%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 7.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 42.8% → 50.7% 10 → 11 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 34.5% → 31.3% 8 → 7 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 11.7% → 9.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 7.5% → 5.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 2.2% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,060 valid votes including 129 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.