Zarautz: EH BILDU would win a majority
Zarautz (Gipuzkoa, 23,101 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 60%EH BILDU majority
- 11,525valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+2
11
councillors (2023: 9) · 47.3% of the vote (2023: 39.4%)
Majority 60%
EAJ-PNV−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 41.4%)
Majority 8%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 9.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 39.4% → 47.3% 9 → 11 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 41.4% → 38.0% 10 → 9 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 9.2% → 7.3% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 3.6% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - BERDEAK EQUOSumar, Podemos and allies 4.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,525 valid votes including 260 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.