Hernani: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Hernani (Gipuzkoa, 20,375 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 95%EH BILDU majority
- 8,979valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+2
13
councillors (2023: 11) · 55.3% of the vote (2023: 47.5%)
Majority 95%
EAJ-PNV−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 25.2%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 11.9%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.4% of the vote (2023: 10.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 47.5% → 55.3% 11 → 13 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 25.2% → 22.4% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 11.9% → 9.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 10.5% → 8.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 2.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,979 valid votes including 218 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.