Errenteria: EH BILDU would win a majority
Errenteria (Gipuzkoa, 39,023 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 59%EH BILDU majority
- 16,369valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Errenteria
Errenteria is a municipality in the province of Gipuzkoa with 39,023 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 88 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 41.2% of the vote and 9 seats; PSE-EE (PSOE) was second with 6. 53.7% of the 30,507 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 59% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 41.2% → 47.3% 9 → 11 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 27.7% → 26.2% 6 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 15.3% → 13.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 8.6% → 6.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 5.6% → 4.9% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,369 valid votes including 288 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.