Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Errenteria: EH BILDU would win a majority

Errenteria (Gipuzkoa, 39,023 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+2
11 councillors (2023: 9) · 47.3% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 59%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 26.2% of the vote (2023: 27.7%) Majority 0%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 15.3%) Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.9% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 41.2% → 47.3% 9 → 11 councillors
  2. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 27.7% → 26.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. EAJ-PNVPNV 15.3% → 13.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 8.6% → 6.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 5.6% → 4.9% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,369 valid votes including 288 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Errenteria in size, in Gipuzkoa

Every municipality in Gipuzkoa → · All of Spain →