Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montemayor: CONTIGO MONTEMAYOR would keep its majority

Montemayor (Córdoba, 3,869 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CONTIGO MONTEMAYOR+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 67.2% of the vote (2023: 62.0%) Majority over 99%
PSOE-A±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 22.7%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Montemayor

Montemayor is a municipality in the province of Córdoba with 3,869 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 77 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CONTIGO MONTEMAYOR came first with 62% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 2. 76.4% of the 3,143 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CONTIGO MONTEMAYOR on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CONTIGO MONTEMAYORLocal lists 62.0% → 67.2% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 22.7% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 8.1% → 7.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,401 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montemayor in size, in Córdoba

Every municipality in Córdoba → · All of Spain →